Although Rick’s Picks tries to keep risk/reward in a 1:3 ratio at all times, a buy-and hold strategy in Facebook, as you can see, subjects one to an effective risk:reward greater than 3:1. Risking $3 to make $1 is no way for a trader to make a living. Tesla shares, incidentally, come out far worse on the risk:reward scale. If you’d held a single share from the September 2017 record high at 389, you’re out $118 at the moment and would need a 43% rally just to break even. Ultimately, it is only the enduringly faithful — in this case, institutional geniuses who have held just a handful of one-decision FAANG stocks for years — who can withstand such horrendous short-term odds. Full Story
By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report - 18 April, 2019
According to the recently released 2019 World Silver Survey, silver investment demand was significantly higher than analysts forecasted. How much higher? A lot, especially since the analysts stated that silver coin and bar purchases were expected to contract due to falling demand globally.
However, when the data was finally collected, it turned out that physical silver investment was the leading growth sector in the silver market in 2018… by a large degree. And, we can thank super-strong Indian silver demand for pushing physical investment to double-digit growth instead of a substantial decline. Full Story
By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants - 18 April, 2019
Chinese retail gold demand will rise if it economy shows signs of a bottom. I am optimistic on Chinese retail gold demand for the next six months and expect it to rise every month. Indian gold demand should rise till June and thereafter Monsoon rains and other factors will decide. “Eid” is around 5th June. Indian retail gold jewelry demand now a days is good around “Eid”. Full Story
The big picture fundamentals for precious metals have been trending more bullish in recent months as expectations for the Federal Reserve went from a few rate hikes in 2019 to an expectation of a rate cut within the next 12 months. That is aligned with the peak in the 2-year yield and growing concerns over slowing growth globally.
However, that doesn’t preclude a temporary improvement in the economy and markets. China is stimulating again. Global equities have recovered and the S&P 500 is on the cusp of a new high. Full Story
The wilding spree has been replicated in stock exchanges around the world even though global growth is slowing. This shows the irresistible power of central bank stimulus, but also the irrationality of the result. Something’s got to give, and it seems unlikely that the necessary adjustment will come via a huge surge in corporate earnings. Even so, easy credit, aggressive share buybacks and force of habit will continue to fuel stocks until the money runs out. Since no one can say any longer what, exactly, counts as money, it is impossible to estimate when this will occur. The charts are also silent on the question of how high. But gut instinct says we are close to an important top, even if ten years from now it turns out not to have been THE Top. Full Story
By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants - 16 April, 2019
Gold and silver are still not out of the bear shadow. If they fall today, then they will crash. India is closed tomorrow. In India this is the biggest holiday week of the year. If Indian gold prices fall, then jewelers will have the best sale of the current year. A hopefully good jewelry sale will result higher Indian gold demand next week. Day traders need to remain on the sidelines today. Full Story
By: Chris Waltzek, GoldSeek Radio - 15 April, 2019
- Stock indexes could climb to record highs if history acts as a guide amid fresh foreign capital inflows. - Global investors seek out the key shares with big media exposure, such as the Dow 30 components. - Martin Armstrong expects precious metals and equities based cryptocurrencies to outperform their peers. - Several key gold / silver stocks have shown solid signs of performance amid the multi-month US equities rally. - High cash levels of the typical US investment portfolio is in search of new profit opportunities. - Key takeaway point; investors should ignore the sea of negativity surrounding US stocks as The Forecaster expects shares to climb 50%: "... we'll see 40,000 Dow Jones before we see 10,000... " Full Story
I have made it clear I see the gold market in the late stage of Phase I of a massive bull market in gold. The bull began in Jan 2016 and after a 7 month moonshot advance it spent the next 25 months sorting out the winners and the losers in a somewhat painful consolidation of the first leg-up move. But here is the thing about phase I action, it is slow and lethargic and the public could care less because they do not look for value they look for action. It does not necessarily feel like a bull market, but it is here that the ultimate big money is made for those bold enough to recognize and buy. Once it enters into Phase II when the public slowly wakes up and starts to get interested things will begin to move along at a faster clip. I suspect Phase II begins when gold clears the $1400 Hadrian Wall. Full Story
Investors have thrown caution to the wind as they bid up FAANG stocks to imprudent heights and provide overly generous bids for a few others that face serious jeopardy, including Tesla and Boeing. Even so, the herd evidently had second thoughts about one stock on Friday, pummeling the shares of Netflix when competitor Disney announced a new streaming service that will be bargain priced at $6.99 a month. Apple was another story, however. After getting hit early in the session, the stock actually closed higher despite the fact that the company will soon be competing with Disney, Netflix and others in the well-saturated entertainment sector. Full Story
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